Bridge Analysis Gone Wrong

Dealer: East
Vuln: N-S
Scoring: Pairs

  1. spadeA K Q 7 5
  2. heartJ 4
  3. diamond10 4
  4. clubJ 8 7 3
  1. spade10 9
  2. heart3 2
  3. diamondA Q 7 2
  4. clubK Q 9 4 2
club diamond heart spade NT
N - - 4 4 2
S - - 4 4 2
E 1 1 - - -
W 1 1 - - -
Green square in centre
  1. spadeJ 8 6
  2. heart10 8 6
  3. diamondJ 8 6 3
  4. clubA 6 5

Contract: 4spade
Declarer: North
Lead: diamond3

  1. spade4 3 2
  2. heartA K Q 9 7 5
  3. diamondK 9 5
  4. club10
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
Pass 1heart
Pass 1spade Pass 2heart
Pass 3heart Pass 3spade
Pass 4spade Pass Pass
Pass
North-South will make 10 or 11 tricks in their chosen suit, depending on how good the defence is. At this vulnerability they will score +620 or +650. For the sacrifice to be profitable, East-West must hold their losses at the five level to three off doubled, or -500.
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