Theoretically Solid As A Rock

Dealer: East
Vuln: E-W
Scoring: Pairs

  1. spade10 8 7 5
  2. heartJ 10 9 5 4
  3. diamond9 8 4
  4. club5
  1. spadeQ
  2. heartA 7 2
  3. diamondA K 6 3
  4. clubJ 7 6 4 3
club diamond heart spade NT
N - - - 4 -
S - - - 4 -
E 2 3 2 - -
W 2 3 2 - -
Green square in centre
  1. spadeJ 6
  2. heartK Q 6 3
  3. diamondQ 10 5 2
  4. clubK 10 2

Contract: 4spadex
Declarer: South
Lead: spadeQ

  1. spadeA K 9 4 3 2
  2. heart8
  3. diamondJ 7
  4. clubA Q 9 8
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
Pass 1spade
Dble 2spade 4heart 4spade
Pass Pass Dble Pass
Pass Pass
At the table we are told that South consulted the ceiling and led clubQ, hoping to pin the jack. One off, but might he have got this one right?

Hindsight is a near perfect science, but South could tell that West started with spadeQ heartA72 and nine minor suit cards. Nothing too much could be gleaned from the opening lead - it's good technique for defenders to lead trumps in this situation in order to cut down possible ruffs. While clubK is more likely to be with West, there was one factor that might have pointed South in the direction of leading club9 rather than the queen ..
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