Opposition Misbehave

Pages: Page 5 of 6

Dealer: North
Vuln: Love All
Scoring: Butler IMPs
  1. spadeK J
  2. heartK 10 8 5 4 3
  3. diamondA 5 3
  4. clubK 5
  1. spadeQ 7 3 2
  2. heartQ 7 6
  3. diamondK J 4 2
  4. club9 2
club diamond heart spade NT
N 6 1 2 5 5
S 6 1 2 4 5
E - - - - -
W - - - - -
Green square in centre
  1. spade10 8 4
  2. heartA J 9 2
  3. diamondQ 10 9 6
  4. club10 7

Contract: 6club
Declarer: South
Lead: diamond2
  1. spadeA 9 6 5
  2. heart—
  3. diamond8 7
  4. clubA Q J 8 6 4 3
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
1heart Pass 2club
Pass 2heart Pass 2spade
Pass 3diamond Pass 5club
Pass 6club End
There appear to be two lines. Ruff both spades in dummy or take a spade finesse and ruff the other. Which is better? I suspect the former would win the percentage race, but I'm sure that it would be correct to win the first trick in dummy and lead a low heart whichever is selected. Look at East's dilemma - how does he know if it's right to flash in with heartA or not!

Assume he guesses correctly and plays low. Cash spadeK and spadeA, ruff a spade low, ruff a heart, ruff a spade with clubK and another heart ruff allows you to draw trumps. Note that if West leads a trump initially, then you'd be forced into the spade finesse line. The actual N/S scores? .....
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