I Would Have Made It

Dealer: South
Vuln: Game All
Scoring: IMPs

  1. spade10 7 4
  2. heartA Q J 8 2
  3. diamondA 7 3
  4. club4 2
  1. spadeK 9 8 6 5 2
  2. heart10 6 5
  3. diamond8 5
  4. club8 3
club diamond heart spade NT
N 3 6 5 5 5
S 2 5 5 5 5
E - - - - -
W - - - - -
Green square in centre
  1. spade
  2. heartK 9 7 4
  3. diamond9 6 2
  4. clubK J 10 9 6 5

Contract: 6diamond
Declarer: South
Lead: diamond5

  1. spadeA Q J 3
  2. heart3
  3. diamondK Q J 10 4
  4. clubA Q 7
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
1diamond
Pass 1heart Pass 2spade
Pass 3diamond Pass 4club
Pass 4heart Pass 4spade
Pass 6diamond Pass Pass
Pass

East retained the heartK7 and a club, so when the heartJ was finessed at trick 11 he was able to cash his club for two down. Declarer should have reasoned that West was less likely to hold seven hearts than six spades, and accordingly should have returned to hand after trick 5 by playing heartA, ruff a heart.

The odds were against South in the actual end game at the table, partly because a complete count in hearts was available, and therefore the odds were 3-4 against the heartK being with West.


North, a stronger player than South, was not impressed. 'I would have made it', he scoffed contemptuously. The match was lost by 4 IMPs.
The deal continues to haunt declarer even though it was played over 35 years ago. I should know . . . . I was that declarer.


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