Worrying Development

Pages: Page 6 of 6

Dealer: East
Vuln: Love All
Scoring: IMPs
  1. spadeQ 4
  2. heart6
  3. diamond10 9 6 5 3
  4. clubA J 10 8 6
  1. spadeA 5
  2. heartQ J 8 7 5 3
  3. diamondQ J 7
  4. club4 3
club diamond heart spade NT
N 2 - - - -
S 2 - - - -
E - 2 4 1 2
W - 2 4 1 2
Green square in centre
  1. spadeK J 7 6
  2. heartA 9 2
  3. diamondA K 8 2
  4. club7 5

Contract: 4heart
Declarer: West
Lead: clubJ
  1. spade10 9 8 3 2
  2. heartK 10 4
  3. diamond4
  4. clubK Q 9 2
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
1spade Pass
2heart Pass 4heart Pass
Pass Pass
. . . of winning diamondQ at trick two and finessing heartQ (or playing ace and another heart). South wins heartK and has to find his partner's ace to receive the diamond ruff. What would you think of South's chances of finding the club switch instead of a spade?

On the normal lead of diamond10 from North declarer can still get home by pitching a club loser on spadeJ after cashing heartA, but is that line a likely candidate?
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