No Certainty of Success

Dealer: South
Vuln: Love All
Scoring: IMPs

  1. spadeQ 3
  2. heartQ 9 7 2
  3. diamond7 4
  4. clubA K J 10 6
Green square in centre
  1. spade7 6 2
  2. heartK 6 5
  3. diamondA Q J 3 2
  4. clubQ 5

Contract: 3NT
Declarer: South
Lead: spade8

West North East South
Pass
Pass 1club 1diamond 2NT
Pass 3NT Pass Pass
Pass
Imagine you are East. South plays in 3NT after you have overcalled North's 1club opener with 1diamond. You are playing fourth highest leads and your partner West puts spade8 on the table. Declarer let it come around to her ten and runs club9 to your queen.

How do you plan the defence?
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