More Cunning Than Baldric

Pages: Page 5 of 5

Dealer: South
Vuln: N-S
Scoring: IMPs
  1. spadeA K Q 6
  2. heartA J 7
  3. diamond10 9 2
  4. clubK 8 2
  1. spade10 5 3
  2. heart10 8 4 3
  3. diamondA K J 5
  4. clubQ 3
club diamond heart spade NT
N 3 2 2 2 3
S 3 2 2 2 3
E - - - - -
W - - - - -
Green square in centre
  1. spadeJ 9 8 7 2
  2. heartQ 5 2
  3. diamondQ 4
  4. clubJ 9 6

Contract: 3NT
Declarer: North
Lead: spade2
  1. spade4
  2. heartK 9 6
  3. diamond8 7 6 3
  4. clubA 10 7 5 4
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
Pass
1heart 1NT Pass 2NT
Pass 3NT End
OK. Here's what the successful declarers did. They led a diamond from the North hand at trick two. Here's why:-
a) The diamonds might break 3-3
b) If East had a doubleton honour he might play low, blocking the suit.
c) If East won with a doubleton honour then he might not continue the suit - even if a club was ducked to him
d) A defender (presumably West) might cash four diamonds and squeeze his partner.

The most cunning of the successful declarers was Turkish wizard Melih Ozdil - he led diamond2 at trick two. Is that difficult for East to rise with diamondQ - or what!?
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