Excellent Chance Against A Less-than-vigilant Defence

Pages: Page 5 of 5

Dealer: East
Vuln: Game All
Scoring: IMPs
  1. spadeA J 10
  2. heart9 7 5
  3. diamondA 9 6 2
  4. clubQ 9 5
  1. spade7 6 2
  2. heartQ J 8 6
  3. diamond4
  4. clubK J 7 4 3
club diamond heart spade NT
N - 2 - - 2
S - 2 - - 2
E 4 - 2 2 -
W 4 - 2 2 -
Green square in centre
  1. spadeK Q 8 4
  2. heartK 4 3
  3. diamondJ 10
  4. clubA 10 8 2
  1. spade9 5 3
  2. heartA 10 2
  3. diamondK Q 8 7 5 3
  4. club6
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
1club* 1diamond
1heart 2heart~ Dble# 3diamond!

* playing strong NT
~ Unassuming cue-bid
# three hearts
! no extra values

No! When West makes the forgivable error of continuing with hearts at trick two and declarer ducks, East should realise that South must have heartA and so must switch to a low club!!!! This is not so far fetched as it sounds - the bidding has told East that South's values must be limited. Anyway, after winning with clubK, West finally gets the message and switches to a spade giving his partner time to win and exit safely before any end-play can take effect. So 3diamond is indeed beatable, but declarer can give himself an excellent chance against a less-than-vigilant defence.
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