Head Firmly On Block

Dealer: West
Vuln: E-W
Scoring: IMPs

  1. spade2
  2. heartJ 5 3 2
  3. diamondQ J 10 9 7 3
  4. club8 6
  1. spadeK J 9 8 6
  2. heart9 4
  3. diamondA 8 6 4
  4. clubA 3
club diamond heart spade NT
N - - - - -
S - - - - -
E 2 3 7 4 7
W 2 3 7 4 7
Green square in centre
  1. spadeA 5
  2. heartA K Q 10 8 7
  3. diamondK 2
  4. club9 7 2
  1. spadeQ 10 7 4 3
  2. heart6
  3. diamond5
  4. clubK Q J 10 5 4
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
1spade Pass 2heart 3club
3NT Pass 5diamond Pass
5spade Pass 6heart Pass
6NT End
With head firmly on block I say I'm not qite so sure. South is only confirmed as having 5-1-1-6 when he follows to heartA - what happens if he shows out on the heart, confirming his shape as 5-0-2-6? In that case you have blown the contract by cashing heartA, for the winning line is to cash diamondKA ending in hand and immediately run heart9! This line only fails when South has specifically singleton heartJ - surely a small price to pay for catering when North has all five hearts. What say all ye percentage players? Maybe it's close ...
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