Little Old Lady Triumphs

Pages: Page 6 of 6

Dealer: West
Vuln: N-S
Scoring: Pairs
  1. spade10 9 3 2
  2. heart6 3
  3. diamondK 8
  4. club10 9 7 6 2
  1. spade7 6 4
  2. heartJ 5 4
  3. diamond9 7 4
  4. clubK J 5 4
club diamond heart spade NT
N - - - - -
S - - - - -
E 2 6 6 1 2
W 2 6 6 1 2
Green square in centre
  1. spadeA
  2. heartA Q 10 9 7
  3. diamondA Q J 6 5 2
  4. clubA

Contract: 4heart
Declarer: West
Lead: spade10
  1. spadeK Q J 8 5
  2. heartK 8 2
  3. diamond10 3
  4. clubQ 8 3
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
Pass Pass 2diamond* Pass
2heart~ Pass 3diamond Pass
4diamond Pass 4heart Pass
Pass Pass

* GF
~ negative

Anthony reckons that in a contract of 6diamond if heartK is with South, and diamondK with North, declarer needs to replicate s-y-l's line in 4heart, playing a heart to the jack to take the diamond finesse, needing stiff king or heartKx onside, about a 13% chance overall. If the kings are the other way round, you need to play for a third round trump entry to take the heart finesse. The best line is to cash diamondA. This wins on a stiff king either side, diamonds 2-2 with heartK right, or a stiff diamond10 with North with heartK right. This gives about a 36% chance overall, still not great, but we've all been in many worse!
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