Are You Still Feeling Lucky

Pages: Page 5 of 5

Dealer: North
Vuln: Game All
Scoring: Pairs
  1. spadeA 6
  2. heartJ 7 5 4
  3. diamondK Q 8 5 3
  4. clubA K
  1. spadeK J 10 7 3
  2. heart9 6
  3. diamond6 4
  4. club9 7 6 4
club diamond heart spade NT
N 2 6 4 1 2
S 2 6 4 1 2
E - - - - -
W - - - - -
Green square in centre
  1. spadeQ 8 4 2
  2. heartQ 8 3 2
  3. diamondA 10
  4. clubJ 10 8

Contract: 4heart
Declarer: North
Lead: clubJ
  1. spade9 5
  2. heartA K 10
  3. diamondJ 9 7 2
  4. clubQ 5 3 2
Double dummy analyser: makeable contracts
West North East South
1diamond Pass 3diamond
Pass 3heart Pass 4heart
Pass Pass Pass
I think a lot depends on North's ambitions and current estimate of the other North-South pairs and his side's standing. If he desperately needs a big score, he should win and take a trump finesse. When that holds he can cash heartAK and play on diamonds, making eleven or twelve tricks depending on whether heartQ comes down. If he considers that an average board is enough, he will note that on a spade lead 3NT is doomed and that 5diamond will not outscore 4heart. In that case he might decide to cash heartA,clubK and play on diamonds immediately. This might lead to a defensive diamond ruff, but 4heart should be reasonably safe, and plus 620 will yield a fair score.
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